[1]马美帅,王延伟,汪祚赚,等.基于累积绝对位移值的震级估算方法[J].自然灾害学报,2022,31(02):093-101.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2022.0210]
　MA Meishuai,WANG Yanwei,WANG Zuozhuan,et al.Magnitude estimation based on the cumulative absolute displacement[J].,2022,31(02):093-101.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2022.0210]
点击复制

基于累积绝对位移值的震级估算方法
分享到：

《自然灾害学报》[ISSN:/CN:23-1324/X]

卷:
31
期数:
2022年02期
页码:
093-101
栏目:
出版日期:
2022-04-28

文章信息/Info

Title:
Magnitude estimation based on the cumulative absolute displacement
作者:
马美帅1;  王延伟1;  汪祚赚1;  赵庆旭1;  潘代洪2
1. 桂林理工大学 广西岩土力学与工程重点实验室, 广西 桂林 541004;
2. 重庆南江工程勘察设计集团有限公司, 重庆 401121
Author(s):
MA Meishuai1;  WANG Yanwei1;  WANG Zuozhuan1;  ZHAO Qingxu1;  PAN Daihong2
1. Guangxi Key Laboratory of Geomechanics and Geotechnical Engineering, Guilin University of Technology, Guilin 541004, China;
2. Chongqing Nanjiang Engineering Survey and Design Group Co., LTD, Chongqing 401121, China
关键词:
地震预警; 震级; 累积位移绝对值; 强震记录; 地震波
Keywords:
earthquake early warning; magnitude; cumulative absolute displacement; strong earthquake record; seismic wave
分类号:
P315.9；X43
DOI:
10.13577/j.jnd.2022.0210
摘要:
快速准确地估算震级是地震预警成败的关键。初至地震波引起的地表变形可以反应出震级的大小，然而目前的震级估算方法并没有充分利用地表变形的过程信息，震级估算效果仍有改进的空间。为此，提出一种基于初始地表变形的累积绝对位移值（CAD）估算震级的方法。CAD是对加速度记录进行两次积分后，取绝对值求累积得到的。利用日本Kiban-Kyoshin Net（KiK-Net）的大量地震记录对CAD的震级估算效果进行验证，包括初至3 s P波时的震级估算和随初至地震波时长增加的震级持续估算两种验证情况，并与当前普遍采用的峰值位移（Pd）方法进行对比，结果表明，在2种情况下，CAD与震级的相关性和估算震级的准确性均明显优于Pd。实际震例也进一步验证了CAD 实际应用的可行性。在地震预警系统中，采用CAD代替Pd可以获得更好的震级估算效果。
Abstract:
Fast and accurate magnitude estimation is the decisive factor in earthquake early warning(EEW). Ground deformation caused by the first arrival seismic wave can reflect magnitude,but current magnitude estimation methods do not take enough advantage of the deformation process,and the performance of magnitude estimation can still be improved. Therefore,a magnitude estimation method based on cumulative absolute displacement (CAD)of initial ground deformation is proposed. CAD is obtained by the cumulation of absolute displacement calculated by twice integrating accelerograms. A large number of seismic records of Japanese Kiban-Kyoshin Net (KiK-Net)were used to compare the magnitude performance based on the proposed CAD with that based on commonly used peak displacement(Pd). Magnitude estimation with initial 3 s P-wave and magnitude continuous estimation with increasing initial seismic wave were tested in the comparison. The comparison results show that the correlation between CAD and magnitude and the accuracy of magnitude estimation are both significantly better than those of Pd. The performance of CAD method is further verified by a real earthquake event. In EEW system,using CAD instead of Pd can achieve better magnitude estimation.

参考文献/References:

[1] 袁志祥, 单修政, 徐世芳, 等.地震预警技术综述[J].自然灾害学报,2007,16(6):216-223. YUAN Zhixiang,SHAN Xiuzheng,XU Shifang, et al. An overview of earthquake early warning technology[J]. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2007,16(6):216-223(. in Chinese)
[2] 高峰, 杨学山, 马树林.地震预警系统综述[J].自然灾害学报, 2014, 23(5):62-69. GAO Feng,YANG Xueshan,MA Shulin. Summary of earthquake early warning system[J]. Journal of Natural Disasters,2014, 23(5):62-69. (in Chinese)
[3] Hoshiba M,Kamigaichi O,Saito M,et al. Earthquake early warning starts nationwide in Japan[J]. EOS,Transactions American Geophysical Union,2008,89(8):73-74.
[4] Cua G, Fischer M, Heaton T,et al. Real-time performance of the virtual seismologist earthquake early warning algorithm in southern California[J]. Seismological Research Letters, 2009, 80(5):740-747.
[5] Espinosa-Aranda J M, Cuellar A,Garcia A,et al. Evolution of the Mexican seismic alert system(SASMEX)[J]. Seismological Research Letters, 2009, 80(5):694-706.
[6] Fleming K, Picozzi M, Milkereit C,et al. The self-organizing seismic early warning information network(SOSEWIN)[J]. Seismological Research Letters, 2009, 80(5):755-771.
[7] B?e M, Ionescu C, Wenzel F. Earthquake early warning for Bucharest,Romania:novel and revised scaling relations[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2007, 34(7):L07302.
[8] Zollo A, Iannaccone G, Lancieri M,et al. Earthquake early warning system in southern Italy:methodologies and performance evaluation[J].Geophysical Research Letters, 2009, 36(5):L00B07.
[9] Peng H S, Wu Z L, Wu Y M, et al. Developing a prototype earthquake early warning system in the Beijing capital region[J]. Seismological Research Letters, 2011, 82(3):394-403.
[10] Allen R M, Kanamori H. The potential for earthquake early warning in southern California[J]. Science, 2003, 300(5620):786-789.
[11] Kanamori H. Real-time seismology and earthquake damage mitigation[J]. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 2005, 33:195-214.
[12] Ziv A.New frequency-based real-time magnitude proxy for earthquake early warning[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2014, 41(20):7035- 7040.
[13] Atefi S,Heidari R,Mirzaei N,et al. Rapid estimation of earthquake magnitude by a new wavelet-based proxy[J]. Seismological Research Letters,2017,88(6):1527-1533.
[14] Wu Y M, Zhao L. Magnitude estimation using the first three seconds P-wave amplitude in earthquake early warning[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2006, 33(16):L16312.
[15] Festa G, Zollo A,Lancieri M. Earthquake magnitude estimation from early radiated energy[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2008, 35(22):L22307.
[16] Alcik H, Ozel O, Apaydin N,et al. A study on warning algorithms for Istanbul earthquake early warning system[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2009, 36(5):L00B05.
[17] 金星, 张红才, 李军, 等.地震预警震级确定方法研究[J].地震学报,2012,34(5):593-610. JIN Xing,ZHANG Hongcai,LI Jun,et al. Research on earthquake early warning magnitude estimate[J]. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 2012,34(5):593-610(. in Chinese)
[18] 彭朝勇, 杨建思, 薛兵, 等.基于汶川主震及余震的预警参数与震级相关性研究[J]. 地球物理学报,2013,56(10):3404-3415. PENG Chaoyong,YANG Jiansi,XUE Bing,et al. Research on correlation between early-warning parameters and magnitude for the Wenchuan earthquake and its aftershocks[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics,2013,56(10):3404-3415(. in Chinese)
[19] Li H J,Zhang J J,Tang Y L. Testing earthquake early warning parameters,τmaxp,τc,and Pd,for Rapid Magnitude estimation in the Sichuan, China,region[J]. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America,2017,107(3):1439-1450.
[20] Nazeri S,Shomali Z H,Colombelli S,et al. Magnitude estimation based on integrated amplitude and frequency content of the initial P wave in earthquake early warning applied to Tehran,Iran[J]. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 2017,107(3):1432-1438.
[21] Leyton F,Ruiz S,Baez J C,et al. How fast can we reliably estimate the magnitude of subduction earthquakes?[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2018, 45(18):9633-9641.
[22] 王延伟, 李小军, 曹振中, 等.基于Kik-net井下基岩强震动记录的持续地震预警震级估算方法[J].地震工程与工程振动, 2020, 40(4):42-52. WANG Yanwei,LI Xiaojun,CAO Zhenzhong,et al.Continuous estimation magnitude for earthquake early warning based on Kik-net borehole bedrock strong motions[J]. Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Dynamics,2020,40(4):42-52(. in Chinese)
[23] Hsiao N C,Wu Y M,Shin T C,et al. Development of earthquake early warning system in Taiwan[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2009,36(5):L00B02.
[24] Zhang H C,Jin X,Wei Y X,et al. An earthquake early warning system in Fujian,China[J]. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 2016,106(2):755-765.
[25] Kamigaichi O,Saito M,Doi K,et al. Earthquake early warning in Japan:warning the general public and future prospects[J]. Seismological Research Letters,2009,80(5):717-726.
[26] Kohler M D,Cochran E S,Given D,et al. Earthquake early warning ShakeAlert system:west coast wide production prototype[J]. Seismological Research Letters,2018,89(1):99-107.
[27] Nazeri S,Shomali Z H,Colombelli S,et al. Magnitude estimation based on integrated amplitude and frequency content of the initial P wave in earthquake early warning applied to Tehran,Iran[J]. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America,2017,107(3):1432-1438.
[28] Peng C Y,Yang J S,Zheng Y,et al. New τc regression relationship derived from all P wave time windows for rapid magnitude estimation[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2017,44(4):1724-1731.
[29] Perol T,Gharbi M,Denolle M. Convolutional neural network for earthquake detection and location[J]. Science Advances,2018,4(2):e1700578.
[30] Cheng M H,Wu S,Heaton T H,et al. Earthquake early warning application to buildings[J]. Engineering Structures,2014,60:155-164.
[31] Huang P L,Lin T L,Wu Y M. Application of τc* Pd in earthquake early warning[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2015,42(5):1403- 1410.
[32] Zollo A,Lancieri M,Nielsen S. Earthquake magnitude estimation from peak amplitudes of very early seismic signals on strong motion records[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2006,33(23):L23312.
[33] 日本气象厅. 紧急地震公告的内容[OL].(2019-06-18)[2021-11-17]. http://www.data.jma.go.jp/svd/eew/data/nc/pub_hist/2019/06/20190618222224/content/content_out.html Japanese Meteorological Agency. Content of Emergency Earthquake Announcement[OL] (. 2019-06-18)[2021-11-17]. http://www.data.jma.go.jp/svd/eew/data/nc/pub_hist/2019/06/20190618222224/content/content_out.html.(in Chinese)

相似文献/References:

[1]刘金龙,林均岐.基于震中烈度的地震人员伤亡评估方法研究[J].自然灾害学报,2012,21(05):113.
　LIU Jinlong,LIN Junqi.Study on assessment method for earthquake casualty based on epicentral intensity[J].,2012,21(02):113.
[2]刘金龙,林均岐,陈希.生命线系统地震灾害损失评估方法研究[J].自然灾害学报,2012,21(06):050.
　LIU Jinlong,LIN Junqi,CHEN Xi.Study on loss assessment methodology for lifeline system under earthquake disaster[J].,2012,21(02):050.
[3]高杰,冯启民,吴允涛,等.地震应急响应系统研究[J].自然灾害学报,2007,16(06):180.
　GAO Jie,FENG Qi-min,WU Yun-tao,et al.Research on earthquake emergency response system[J].,2007,16(02):180.
[4]贺为民,杨杰.中波水电站水库诱发地震预测研究[J].自然灾害学报,2013,22(05):104.
　HE Weimin,YANG Jie.Research on forecast of earthquake induced by reservoir of Zhongbo Hydropower Station[J].,2013,22(02):104.
[5]张季良.中国高速铁路地震监测系统建设初探[J].自然灾害学报,2014,23(04):103.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2014.0414]
　ZHANG Jiliang.Preliminary exploration of earthquake monitoring system construction for high speed railway in China[J].,2014,23(02):103.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2014.0414]
[6]高峰,杨学山,马树林.地震预警系统综述[J].自然灾害学报,2014,23(05):062.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2014.0508]
　GAO Feng,YANG Xueshan,MA Shulin.Summary of earthquake early warning system[J].,2014,23(02):062.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2014.0508]
[7]江汶乡,于海英,赵晓芬,等.用于地震预警系统的单台站防误触发算法研究[J].自然灾害学报,2015,24(02):023.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2015.0204]
　JIANG Wenxiang,YU Haiying,ZHAO Xiaofeng,et al.Interference prevention algorithm used for single station of earthquake early warning system[J].,2015,24(02):023.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2015.0204]
[8]许卫晓,杨伟松,孙景江,等.震中烈度与震级和震源深度经验关系的统计回归分析[J].自然灾害学报,2016,25(02):139.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2016.0216]
　XU Weixiao,YANG Weisong,SUN Jingjiang,et al.Statistical regression analysis of empirical relationships of epicentral intensity, magnitude and focal depth[J].,2016,25(02):139.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2016.0216]
[9]王振宇,赵培培,薄景山.川滇甘陕地区反应谱平台值的统计分析[J].自然灾害学报,2019,28(01):107.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2019.0113]
　WANG Zhenyu,ZHAO Peipei,BO Jingshan.Statistical analysis of peak flat values of response spectra in Sichuan, Yunnan,Gansu and Shaanxi[J].,2019,28(02):107.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2019.0113]
[10]王江,马强,陶冬旺.地震预警中P波位移峰值曲线特性研究[J].自然灾害学报,2019,28(02):018.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2019.0203]
　WANG Jiang,MA Qiang,TAO Dongwang.Peak displacement curve characteristics of P-wave in earthquake early warning[J].,2019,28(02):018.[doi:10.13577/j.jnd.2019.0203]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2021-10-17;改回日期:2021-11-18。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(51968016);广西岩土力学与工程重点实验室主任基金项目(桂科能19-Y-21-8)
作者简介:马美帅(1996-),女,硕士研究生,主要从事地震监测预警研究.E-mail:1091374574@qq.com
通讯作者:王延伟(1981-),男,副研究员,博士,主要从事地震监测预警研究.E-mail:wywiem@163.com
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01